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A carregar... The Absent Superpower: The Shale Revolution and a World Without Americapor Peter Zeihan
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Adira ao LibraryThing para descobrir se irá gostar deste livro. Ainda não há conversas na Discussão sobre este livro. Exudes confidence in his predictions but so far the only one that came true is invasion of Ukraine and technically that started even before the book was published. Don't know how much of this book is trying to convince people to just follow its recipe for the future, which in this book is really bleak. This was a continuation/elaboration of Zeihan's first book. Essentially geography-focused prediction about the next 30-50 years of politics, but in this case taking into account the oil-shale revolution (which essentially makes North America a net energy exporter) and how that will accelerate isolationism in the Americas and challenge supply chains everywhere else. sem críticas | adicionar uma crítica
The world is changing in ways most of us find incomprehensible. Terrorism spills out of the Middle East into Europe. Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, China and Japan vie to see who can be most aggressive. Financial breakdown in Asia and Europe guts growth, challenging hard-won political stability. Yet for the Americans, these changes are fantastic. Alone among the world's powers, only the United States is geographically wealthy, demographically robust, and energy secure. That last piece -- American energy security -- is rapidly emerging as the most critical piece of the global picture. The American shale revolution does more than sever the largest of the remaining ties that bind America's fate to the wider world. It re-industrializes the United States, accelerates the global order's breakdown, and triggers a series of wide ranging military conflicts that will shape the next two decades. The common theme? Just as the global economy tips into chaos, just as global energy becomes dangerous, just as the world really needs the Americans to be engaged, the United States will be ... absent. In 2014's The Accidental Superpower, geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan made the case that geographic, demographic and energy trends were unravelling the global system. Zeihan takes the story a step further in The Absent Superpower, mapping out the threats and opportunities as the world descends into Disorder-- Não foram encontradas descrições de bibliotecas. |
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Google Books — A carregar... GénerosSistema Decimal de Melvil (DDC)327.73Social sciences Political Science International Relations North America United StatesClassificação da Biblioteca do Congresso dos EUA (LCC)AvaliaçãoMédia:
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This book needs GOOD maps. These maps were too small and it was nearly impossible to see the differences between the many shades of grey. At least for the last book, I was able to find where someone had colored his maps and put them on the internet (so I could also zoom in.)
Also, it needs a good editing. The occasional mistakes (where a word was omitted or added or where a sentence was incomplete) were very distracting. I would read the sentence over and over to try to make sense of it, only to realize that it was a mistake.
I still don't see how global oil prices could go to $150 a barrel but remain under $70 in the US. ( )