Página InicialGruposDiscussãoMaisZeitgeist
Pesquisar O Sítio Web
Este sítio web usa «cookies» para fornecer os seus serviços, para melhorar o desempenho, para analítica e (se não estiver autenticado) para publicidade. Ao usar o LibraryThing está a reconhecer que leu e compreende os nossos Termos de Serviço e Política de Privacidade. A sua utilização deste sítio e serviços está sujeita a essas políticas e termos.

Resultados dos Livros Google

Carregue numa fotografia para ir para os Livros Google.

A carregar...

Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (2001)

por Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Outros autores: Ver a secção outros autores.

Séries: Incerto (1)

MembrosCríticasPopularidadeAvaliação médiaMenções
4,221602,822 (3.89)32
This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. In an entertaining narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. Taleb uses stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is. The audiobook is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: Yogi Berra, the baseball legend; Karl Popper, the philosopher of knowledge; Solon, the ancient world's wisest man; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Ulysses. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life, but who also falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. But the most recognizable character remains unnamed, the lucky fool in the right place at the right time - the embodiment of the "Survival of the Least Fit". Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained through chance. It may be impossible to guard against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.… (mais)
A carregar...

Adira ao LibraryThing para descobrir se irá gostar deste livro.

Ainda não há conversas na Discussão sobre este livro.

» Ver também 32 menções

Mostrando 1-5 de 60 (seguinte | mostrar todos)
260 pages of sarcasm is more than I can stand, all to tell us that Wall Street can predict everything except the unpredictable. ( )
  MylesKesten | Jan 23, 2024 |
Castalia Library, Cowhide Leather 900 ( )
  TomLopez | Dec 9, 2023 |
Taleb’s toeval is een bespreking van het eerste deel uit zijn Incerto reeks, ‘Misleid door toeval’. En gelijk de beste. Ik las het 15 jaar geleden ook al eens en was benieuwd wat er was blijven hangen. Het antwoord daarop is paradoxaal: zowel heel veel als heel weinig. Veel, omdat het meeste wat ik las inmiddels wel gemeengoed is in het vakgebied. Weinig, omdat ik bij sommige stukken dacht het echt voor de eerste keer te lezen, zo onbekend kwam het mij voor. Zoals de waarschuwing van Solon. Een uitstekende metafoor voor Taleb’s toeval. Lees hier de hele recensie https://www.rizoomes.nl/risicomanagement/talebs-toeval-een-boekrecensie/ ( )
  Rizoomes | Oct 22, 2023 |
Very enlightening! I am so stoked that I signed up for a course on Probability and statistics after reading this book ( )
  harishwriter | Oct 12, 2023 |
My god, what a bothersome windbag.He goes on and on telling useless stories and pretending to explain some (very very very basic) Statistics - only exposing his own very high self-regard. Totally unreadable, which is not strange for a book of >300 pages that could be easily reduced to 10 with gain for everybody (except the author, I guess). The only good side is the black cat on the cover. ( )
  kenshin79 | Jul 25, 2023 |
Mostrando 1-5 de 60 (seguinte | mostrar todos)
The lesson here for investors is powerful and frightening. How much can you rely on the track records of investment advisers, mutual fund managers, newspaper columnists, or even the market as a whole in making decisions about your investment portfolio? Not nearly as much as you probably think.

 

» Adicionar outros autores (10 possíveis)

Nome do autorPapelTipo de autorObra?Estado
Nassim Nicholas Talebautor principaltodas as ediçõescalculado
Sergio, ChristopherDesigner da capaautor secundárioalgumas ediçõesconfirmado
Welch, ChrisDesignerautor secundárioalgumas ediçõesconfirmado
Tem de autenticar-se para poder editar dados do Conhecimento Comum.
Para mais ajuda veja a página de ajuda do Conhecimento Comum.
Título canónico
Informação do Conhecimento Comum em inglês. Edite para a localizar na sua língua.
Título original
Títulos alternativos
Data da publicação original
Pessoas/Personagens
Locais importantes
Acontecimentos importantes
Filmes relacionados
Epígrafe
Dedicatória
Informação do Conhecimento Comum em inglês. Edite para a localizar na sua língua.
To my mother, Minerva Ghosn Taleb
Primeiras palavras
Informação do Conhecimento Comum em inglês. Edite para a localizar na sua língua.
This book is the synthesis of, on one hand, the no-nonsense practitioner of uncertainty who spent his professional life trying to resist being fooled by randomness and trick the emotions associated with probabilistic outcomes and, on the other, the aesthetically obsessed, literature-loving human being willing to be fooled by any form of nonsense that is polished, refined, original, and tasteful.
Citações
Últimas palavras
Informação do Conhecimento Comum em inglês. Edite para a localizar na sua língua.
(Carregue para mostrar. Atenção: Pode conter revelações sobre o enredo.)
Nota de desambiguação
Editores da Editora
Autores de citações elogiosas (normalmente na contracapa do livro)
Informação do Conhecimento Comum em inglês. Edite para a localizar na sua língua.
Língua original
DDC/MDS canónico
LCC Canónico
This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. In an entertaining narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. Taleb uses stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is. The audiobook is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: Yogi Berra, the baseball legend; Karl Popper, the philosopher of knowledge; Solon, the ancient world's wisest man; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Ulysses. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life, but who also falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. But the most recognizable character remains unnamed, the lucky fool in the right place at the right time - the embodiment of the "Survival of the Least Fit". Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained through chance. It may be impossible to guard against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

Não foram encontradas descrições de bibliotecas.

Descrição do livro
Resumo Haiku

Current Discussions

Nenhum(a)

Capas populares

Ligações Rápidas

Avaliação

Média: (3.89)
0.5 2
1 18
1.5
2 50
2.5 11
3 140
3.5 34
4 301
4.5 32
5 229

É você?

Torne-se num Autor LibraryThing.

 

Acerca | Contacto | LibraryThing.com | Privacidade/Termos | Ajuda/Perguntas Frequentes | Blogue | Loja | APIs | TinyCat | Bibliotecas Legadas | Primeiros Críticos | Conhecimento Comum | 206,357,843 livros! | Barra de topo: Sempre visível